Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 62.6%
Voorspellers
13
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 uur geleden
Verouderd9 dec 23, 23:44 UTC1 mrt 27, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Macrogevoelige Assets
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Mexico have a larger GDP than Brazil in 2028?
Manifold MarketsSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026
PolymarketWill South Africa become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsSouth Africa vs Australia. 1st Test Megamarket
Manifold MarketsZimbabwe vs South Africa
KalshiZimbabwe vs South Africa
KalshiRegels
Resolves as YES if Nigeria has a larger GDP than South Africa in the year from January 1st 2026 -> December 31st 2026
Open markten
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 89,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,7 mln.
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 541,2K
- 24u volume
- € 30,7K
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 334,2K
- 24u volume
- € 12,8K
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 10,7K
- 24u volume
- € 10,7K
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Totaal volume
- € 612,5K
- 24u volume
- € 6,9K
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No95%
- Yes+1.0pt5%
- Totaal volume
- € 2,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 5,3K
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in September
Gerelateerde crypto's
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 63% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 1 maart 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves as YES if Nigeria has a larger GDP than South Africa in the year from January 1st 2026 -> December 31st 2026