KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 87%
Marktkwaliteit
≤49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 11,7K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
11.0% / 13.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 9 minuten geleden
19 dec 24, 15:00 UTC1 jan 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Macrogevoelige Assets
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will WHO declare a global health emergency not directly based on epidemic concerns by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the World Health Organization declare another global pandemic before 2030?
Manifold MarketsRecession this year?
KalshiUS recession by end of 2026?
PolymarketWhen will the next US recession start?
KalshiUS recession by end of 2026?
LimitlessRegels
If the International Monetary Fund declares the world is in recession before 2027 in one of their World Economic Outlook reports, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:International Monetary Fund
Open markten
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt46%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 90,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,5 mln.
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 358,6K
- 24u volume
- € 35,8K
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
+23 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 548,3K
- 24u volume
- € 29,8K
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP-23.0pt71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP-2.0pt58%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 10,7K
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+3.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-4.0pt32%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 17,7K
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-2.0pt22%
- Totaal volume
- € 310,3K
- 24u volume
- € 6,5K
- Recession this year?
- CPI in September
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the IMF declare a global recession before 2027??
- Kalshi prijst No op 87% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the IMF declare a global recession before 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Will the IMF declare a global recession before 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the IMF declare a global recession before 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the International Monetary Fund declares the world is in recession before 2027 in one of their World Economic Outlook reports, then the market resolves to Yes.