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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
  2. Economie
  3. 2026: Trump's bad year?
2026: Trump's bad year?

2026: Trump's bad year?

1.0% (24u)EconomieOne-OffUS Politics1j
KalshiKalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Ja
Ja 14%-1.0%
Marktkwaliteit

28 / 100

Lage kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 8,7

Liquiditeit

€ 642,3

Lage liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

14.0% / 17.0%

Spread

21.4%

Brede spread
Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 8 minuten geleden

17 dec 25, 15:0031 dec 27, 15:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Yes14%

Regels

If ALL of the following occur: Trump's VoteHub approval rating drops below 35% in 2026 AND Democrats win control of the House of Representatives after the midterms AND the U.S. enters a recession between Q4 2025 and Q4 2026 (inclusive) AND the U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) is at least 5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This is a combination market requiring **ALL** specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
  • If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.
  • Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset:
  • - "Trump's VoteHub approval rating drops below 35%" uses POLLINGAPPROVALINPERIOD - "Will Democrats win control of the House of Representatives?" uses CONTROL - "Will the U.S. enter a recession?" uses NBERRECSS - "Will the U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) be at least 5%?" uses ECONSTAT
  • For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified).

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Actief in deze onderwerpen

BitcoinBTC$62,600.01+2.05%EthereumETH$1,651.88+1.52%SolanaSOL$65.07+1.10%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.31%XRPXRP$1.12-0.11%BNBBNB$594.94+1.49%

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Regels

If ALL of the following occur: Trump's VoteHub approval rating drops below 35% in 2026 AND Democrats win control of the House of Representatives after the midterms AND the U.S. enters a recession between Q4 2025 and Q4 2026 (inclusive) AND the U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) is at least 5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This is a combination market requiring **ALL** specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
  • If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.
  • Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset:
  • - "Trump's VoteHub approval rating drops below 35%" uses POLLINGAPPROVALINPERIOD - "Will Democrats win control of the House of Representatives?" uses CONTROL - "Will the U.S. enter a recession?" uses NBERRECSS - "Will the U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) be at least 5%?" uses ECONSTAT
  • For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified).