KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 76%
Marktkwaliteit
54 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 341,3
Liquiditeit
€ 10,3K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
16.5% / 24.0%
Spread
7.5 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 minuten geleden
5 jun 25, 18:00 UTC30 jun 29, 03:59 UTC
Trends
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Kalshi2026: Trump's dream year?
KalshiUS defaults on debt by 2027?
PolymarketJapan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?
PolymarketRegels
If the value added by Manufacturing to GDP in Q4 2028 is at least 13.1% (the value it was in Q1 2005), then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:BEA
Open markten
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+5.0pt83.2%
- No change-5.0pt15.8%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 131,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 7,6 mln.
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No94%
- Yes+2.0pt6%
- Totaal volume
- € 3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 19,7K
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.2%+11.0pt99%
- Above 3.3%+2.0pt98%
- Above 3.0%+1.0pt98%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.2%+8.0pt99%
- Above -0.4%+3.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%+1.0pt99%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 87,2K
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Totaal volume
- € 655,3K
- 24u volume
- € 4,7K
KALSHI2026: Trump's dream year?
- No95%
- Yes5%
- Totaal volume
- € 499,3K
- 24u volume
- € 3,6K
- Recession in 2027?
- US recession by end of 2026?
- Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- Recession this year?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
- Unemployment in September
- UK Recession in 2026?
- How many jobs added in September?
- US GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Trump bring back manufacturing??
- Kalshi prijst No op 76% per 14 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Trump bring back manufacturing? afgewikkeld?
- Will Trump bring back manufacturing? wordt naar verwachting op 30 juni 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Trump bring back manufacturing? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the value added by Manufacturing to GDP in Q4 2028 is at least 13.1% (the value it was in Q1 2005), then the market resolves to Yes.