Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 56.9%
Voorspellers
11
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 9 uur geleden
Verouderd1 aug 23, 23:21 UTC31 dec 44, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Regels
One of the many proposed theories (or a new theory) of Quantum Gravity (theory that somehow unifies Gravity with QM) must be generally accepted OVER the standard model.
Open markten
Science
KALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+19.9pt95%
- Before 2030+6.0pt82%
- Before 2029+7.3pt55%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 226,3K
- 24u volume
- € 125,2K
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029+1.0pt21%
- Before 202813%
- Before 2027+0.1pt5%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 28,6 mln.
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2030+71.0pt92%
- Before 2035+11.0pt56%
- Before 203248%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 108,3K
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.9pt3%
- Totaal volume
- € 1,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 5,2K
POLYMARKETMin Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- 4.4-4.6m+18.6pt65.7%
- 4.2-4.4m-20.9pt26.5%
- 4.6-4.8m+0.8pt2.9%
+4 extra uitkomsten
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- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
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- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will a unified theory of Quantum Gravity usurp the Standard Model before 2045??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 57% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will a unified theory of Quantum Gravity usurp the Standard Model before 2045? afgewikkeld?
- Will a unified theory of Quantum Gravity usurp the Standard Model before 2045? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2044 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will a unified theory of Quantum Gravity usurp the Standard Model before 2045? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: One of the many proposed theories (or a new theory) of Quantum Gravity (theory that somehow unifies Gravity with QM) must be generally accepted OVER the standard model.