Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 97.5%
Voorspellers
25
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 minuten geleden
8 aug 26, 07:13 UTC1 jan 28, 05:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a correct solution to a Millennium Prize Problem be published by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a verified AI-assisted solution to one of the Millennium Prize problems by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiWill Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
KalshiWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketRegels
Codename: MILLPROB
- Resolves YES if a complete claimed solution or disproof of one of the six unsolved Millennium Prize Problems is made public before January 1, 2028 and verified by June 30, 2028.
- Verification requires either a complete, independently reproduced machine-checkable proof, or clear acceptance by multiple recognized specialists with no credible unresolved objection after at least 90 days.
- Clay Mathematics Institute recognition is sufficient but not required.
- A counterexample counts only if it resolves the official problem as stated.
- Keep an eye on mnx.fi 👀
Open markten
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 2030+7.0pt83%
- Before 2029+17.9pt50%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 211K
- 24u volume
- € 110,5K
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 202812%
- Before 20275%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 28,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 21,3K
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Totaal volume
- € 1,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 5,2K
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+4.0pt49%
- Before 2030+18.0pt39%
- Before 2032-9.0pt39%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Natural Disaster in 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Millennium: Prize Problem solution published before 2028 and verified??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 98% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Millennium: Prize Problem solution published before 2028 and verified? afgewikkeld?
- Millennium: Prize Problem solution published before 2028 and verified? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Millennium: Prize Problem solution published before 2028 and verified? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Codename: MILLPROB