KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Before 2027 64%-8.0ptKoploper van 6 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
52 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 585,7
Liquiditeit
€ 801
Lage liquiditeitSpread
2.0 pt
Strakke spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 minuten geleden
12 sep 26, 22:00 UTC1 okt 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Which AI lab will be the first to solve a millennium prize problem?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI Claims to Solve another Millennium Prize Problem before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
PolymarketThird-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
PolymarketSecond-best AI Lab end of September?
PolymarketRegels
If any AI lab solves another Millennium Prize Problem after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:The GuardianNational Academy of Sciences of the United StatesFinancial TimesAssociated Pressthe Clay Mathematics InstituteNaturearXiv preprint repository operated by Cornell UniversityRoyal Societythe American Mathematical Societythe International Mathematical UnionThe Washington Postthe New York TimesMax Planck SocietyAmerican Association for the Advancement of ScienceBritish Broadcasting CorporationQuanta MagazineThe Wall Street JournalFrench Academy of SciencesBloomberg NewsReutersProceedings of the National Academy of SciencesThe Economist
- A Millennium Prize Problem counts as solved on the first date that, by Expiration, remains unretracted and either:
- A complete proof, disproof, or counterexample addressing the problem as originally formulated by the Clay Mathematics Institute is published in a reputable peer-reviewed mathematics or scientific journal.
- CMI or another recognized academic governing or recognition body officially states that the problem has been resolved by reference to a specific written work.
- At least two Source Agencies themselves report that the problem has been proven, disproven, or otherwise resolved by reference to a specific publicly available written work.
- A preprint, announcement, blog post, conference presentation, technical report, or machine-checked formalization does NOT by itself constitute a solution, but may be the written work relied upon for official recognition or qualifying Source Agency reporting.
Open markten
AIKALSHIOpen Source market share on Sep 14th
- Above 67.5%99%
- Above 70%+22.0pt99%
- Above 72.5%96%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 63,6K
- 24u volume
- € 63,6K
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt89%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-5.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-8.0pt79%
+9 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-2.8pt68.6%
- ChatGPT-0.4pt15.7%
- Gemini+0.2pt6.9%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,5 mln.
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 15,85%
- December 31,-3.5pt84%
- November 30,-2.0pt76%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETWill any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
- 1510+45.5pt100%
- 1520-9.9pt81%
- 1530-0.1pt4%
+2 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude89.9%
- Gemini2.8%
- ChatGPT1.8%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 27,4K
- 24u volume
- € 27,4K
- Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem??
- Kalshi prijst Before 2027 op 64% per 15 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem? afgewikkeld?
- When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem? wordt naar verwachting op 1 oktober 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If any AI lab solves another Millennium Prize Problem after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.