Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 99.2%
Voorspellers
46
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 minuten geleden
1 jun 26, 13:01 UTC31 dec 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will some Millennium Prize Prize Problem be solved in 2026?
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PolymarketWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiWill Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
KalshiRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, at any point before January 1, 2028, the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) officially announces that one of the six remaining Millennium Prize Problems has been solved, or officially awards the Millennium Prize for its solution.
- The remaining six eligible problems are:
- Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture
- Hodge conjecture
- Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness
Open markten
SciencePOLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 301%
- April 300%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 57,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 86,7K
KALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 203076%
- Before 2029+38.1pt70%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 153,9K
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 2028+1.0pt13%
- Before 2027-0.3pt5%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 28,6 mln.
POLYMARKETWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- 1+5.0pt75.5%
- 2-0.5pt21.6%
- 32%
+3 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Totaal volume
- € 1,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 5,2K
KALSHIWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Yes-3.6pt77%
- No23%
- Totaal volume
- € 286,1K
- 24u volume
- € 3,5K
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- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 99% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028? afgewikkeld?
- Will some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria