Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 26 okt 2026, 07:45 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 98%
Voorspellers
34
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd12 mei 25, 15:43 UTC31 dec 31, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will some Millennium Prize Prize Problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a correct solution to a Millennium Prize Problem be published by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill an unsolved millenium prize problem be solved by AI by the end of 2028
Manifold MarketsWhich Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
KalshiWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2031, at least one of the six unsolved Millennium Prize Problems is solved primarily by an artificial intelligence (AI) system.
- The AI must be credited as the principal solver, not merely as a tool assisting human mathematicians.
- The solution must be published in a reputable, peer-reviewed mathematical journal and receive general acceptance in the global mathematics community.
- Official recognition by the Clay Mathematics Institute is not required for resolution.
- If no such AI-driven solution is achieved by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No."