KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Hodge Conjecture 92%+45.0ptKoploper van 5 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
33 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 344,6
Liquiditeit
€ 1K
Lage liquiditeitSpread
85.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 minuten geleden
12 sep 26, 22:00 UTC1 jan 45, 04:59 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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PolymarketWhen will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?
KalshiRegels
If the named outcome is the first Millennium Prize Problem solved after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:The GuardianNational Academy of Sciences of the United StatesFinancial TimesAssociated Pressthe Clay Mathematics InstituteNaturearXiv preprint repository operated by Cornell UniversityRoyal Societythe American Mathematical Societythe International Mathematical UnionThe Washington Postthe New York TimesMax Planck SocietyAmerican Association for the Advancement of ScienceBritish Broadcasting CorporationQuanta MagazineThe Wall Street JournalFrench Academy of SciencesBloomberg NewsReutersProceedings of the National Academy of SciencesThe Economist
- A Millennium Prize Problem is considered Solved at the earliest time that any of the following occurs:
- A complete proof, disproof, or counterexample addressing the problem as officially formulated is published in a peer-reviewed journal.
- The Clay Mathematics Institute or another recognized authoritative academic body officially recognizes in writing that the problem has been resolved by reference to a specific written work.
- At least two Source Agencies report that the problem has been proven, disproven, or otherwise resolved by reference to a specific publicly available written work.
- If multiple problems have the same Solution Time, each is treated as the next problem Solved and the market resolves to 1/N, where N is the number of tied problems.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
- Ook beschikbaar op Manifold Markets — Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next? · Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness 98%
Open markten
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next??
- Kalshi prijst Hodge Conjecture op 92% per 17 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next? afgewikkeld?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2045 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the named outcome is the first Millennium Prize Problem solved after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Waar wordt Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next? nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Manifold Markets.