Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]

RegelgevingOne-OffHealth & Medicine AI24j

Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerd

Waarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens

Gegevens van 23 jul 2026, 21:00 UTC · beleid pm-quality-2

Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling

Commercial fusion power 39.1%

Koploper van 90 uitkomsten

Voorspellers

278

Vraagtype

multiple choice

Methodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Brontype

Voorspelling

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt eergisteren

Verouderd

12 jun 24, 13:391 dec 50, 20:59

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies

Gekozen uitkomst

Commercial fusion power39%

Inzet (USDT)

Regels

Resolves YES for any number of technologies that are widespread enough in 2049 but not in 2024.

Resolution criteria:
Significant Adoption: The technology must be adopted to a degree that indicates it has moved beyond the experimental or niche phase.
Operational Efficiency: The technology should demonstrate reliable and efficient operation in real-world conditions.
Regulatory Approval: If applicable, the technology must receive approval from relevant regulatory bodies.
Economic Viability: The technology should be commercially viable, with clear economic benefits.

Volumetrend

$41

8 jul9d aan data23 jul

Gerelateerde Markten

Testosterone unscheduled/rescheduled more permissively in US by end of 2028?

€ 511,3

Ja: 17.8%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Preimplantation genetic diagnosis liberalised in Germany before 2027?

€ 61,5

Ja: 13.5%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Estrogen become a scheduled substance in the US by the end of 2028?

€ 44

Ja: 18.1%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

How much will ACA Marketplace enrollment decline in 2027?

Anthropic IPO by __?

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

€ 7,5K

Before Sep 1, 2026: 5%

KALSHI

Actief in deze onderwerpen

BitcoinBTC$64,558.04+0.82%

EthereumETH$1,888.84+1.72%

SolanaSOL$74.93+1.38%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0733+5.28%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.94%

BNBBNB$571.45+1.14%

Gerelateerd Nieuws

White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk

Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News

Russia passes landmark crypto bill allowing regulated retail tradingThe Block

Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecrypt

White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph

Russia’s parliament passes crypto market law with $3,800 annual cap for retail investorsCoindesk

Regels

Resolves YES for any number of technologies that are widespread enough in 2049 but not in 2024.

Resolution criteria:
Significant Adoption: The technology must be adopted to a degree that indicates it has moved beyond the experimental or niche phase.
Operational Efficiency: The technology should demonstrate reliable and efficient operation in real-world conditions.
Regulatory Approval: If applicable, the technology must receive approval from relevant regulatory bodies.
Economic Viability: The technology should be commercially viable, with clear economic benefits.