Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingIndia 75%Koploper van 10 uitkomsten
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22
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Verouderd15 mrt 24, 11:05 UTC31 dec 50, 22:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will any UN country change its official name before the year 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]
Manifold MarketsWhich country will lose territory to a newly founded country by 2050? [add responses]
Manifold MarketsHow will global GDP be distributed among the countries in 2050? [add responses]
Manifold MarketsWill any UN country change its capital before 2028?
KalshiWill ICE change its name in 2026?
KalshiRegels
resolves YES:
- if the international name in the english wikipedia article of the country remains changed for more than one week and this change is the result of a government/legislative decision of said country.
- if a successor country with a different name takes over all international contracts of its predecessor (example: Russia as successor of the Soviet Union)
- resolves NO:
- all non-resolved options by end of 2050.
- A country that ceases to exist is resolved as N/A
