KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 91%
Marktkwaliteit
≤49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 375,8
Lage liquiditeitBied / Laat
7.0% / 9.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Strakke spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 minuten geleden
12 aug 26, 00:46 UTC1 jan 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Regels
If legislation that reduces the federal taxes individuals owe on long-term capital gains by changing how those gains are taxed or calculated has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A qualifying change does not need to apply to all taxpayers or all long-term capital gains.
- Legislation qualifies if it directly reduces or eliminates federal tax owed on long-term capital gains for individuals generally or for a defined class of taxpayers or gains, whether through a rate reduction, exemption or exclusion, a change in applicable thresholds, a change in how basis or gains are calculated, or another statutory mechanism.
- Changes that only defer when tax is paid, or that reduce a taxpayer’s overall federal tax liability without specifically changing the taxation or calculation of long-term capital gains, do not qualify.
- A qualifying change may be temporary and need not take effect before the specified deadline, provided the legislation becomes law within the specified time period.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
Open markten
Regulation
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt84.2%
- Yes-1.0pt15.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 12,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 90,5K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-2.0pt51%
- Before Oct 1, 202749%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-6.0pt41%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 4,8 mln.
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 202754%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 877K
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt19.8%
- $1.75T–$2.0T+0.5pt18.9%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt17.9%
+5 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 202795%
- Before Feb 1, 202793%
- Before Apr 1, 202792%
+9 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 6,5K
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
- Will Alabama cut its state grocery tax again?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
- Will Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by September 30?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will federal capital gains taxes be cut in 2026??
- Kalshi prijst No op 91% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will federal capital gains taxes be cut in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will federal capital gains taxes be cut in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will federal capital gains taxes be cut in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If legislation that reduces the federal taxes individuals owe on long-term capital gains by changing how those gains are taxed or calculated has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Waar wordt Will federal capital gains taxes be cut in 2026? nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Polymarket.