What is the risk-free interest rate on Manifold, now that loans are ~~gone~~ back?
FedOne-OffMacro en economie4j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Resolves No at end of 2026 1%Koploper van 6 uitkomsten
Resolves No at end of 2026 1%Voorspellers
32
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 uur geleden
Verouderd6 jul 24, 18:53 UTC1 jan 31, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Macrogevoelige Assets
Gerelateerde Markten
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These markets resolve No on popular market resolution dates, so the percentage of these markets show the opportunity cost of money for markets resolving on those dates.
- There are existing markets for this already, but they were created while Manifold was giving loans for long term markets, which caused interest rates to be much lower.
- And there is no incentive to correct them by buying Yes unless you think other traders will need to liquidate their positions to free up capital, so they do not reflect the current risk-free interest rate.
