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This event predicts the total number of Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings in 2026 at which the FOMC announces a reduction in the target range for the U.S. federal funds rate.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) is the Federal Reserve, using official FOMC statements and press releases published on federalreserve.gov.
- Each meeting at which a cut is announced will count as one (1) cut, regardless of the size of the reduction.
- Multiple cuts announced at a single meeting will still count as one cut, while cuts announced at separate meetings will each count individually.
- Rate increases or pauses at other meetings do not affect the count.
- If FOMC communications are delayed or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be confirmation from official Federal Reserve records or a clear consensus of reporting by major financial news organizations such as Reuters or Bloomberg.
