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Gegevens van 24 okt 2026, 10:05 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingYang-Mills & The Mass Gap 49.7%Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
12
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
-12.4 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 uur geleden
Verouderd9 apr 24, 19:28 UTC1 jan 99, 22:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
PolymarketAll Millennium Prize Problems solved before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a verified AI-assisted solution to one of the Millennium Prize problems by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved?
KalshiRegels
https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/
- For each market : If the 1 million dollar prize pledged by the Clay Institute of Mathematics for the resolution of the associated problem is taken, then it resolves YES.
- (Typically : someone solves the problem and accepts the money)
- If it’s clearly consensual that it won’t be taken, then it esolves NO.
- (For example, if the Clay Institute of Mathematics ceases to exist and no money is saved to be awarded later, all remaining problems shall resolve NO ; if someone solves a problem, is awarded the money and refuses it, the corresponding question resolves NO.)
- If the money is awarded and redirected (like idk someone gets the prize and asks for it to be given to MIRI), this resolves YES.