Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 81%
Voorspellers
50
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 minuten geleden
8 sep 26, 23:02 UTC31 dec 29, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2030?
Manifold MarketsAll Millennium Prize Problems solved before May 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
PolymarketRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, before January 1, 2030, all seven Millennium Prize Problems are officially solved or widely recognized by the global mathematical community as solved.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- The seven Millennium Prize Problems are:
- Poincaré Conjecture (Solved)
- Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture
Open markten
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 241,3K
- 24u volume
- € 128K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,1 mln.
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 349,4K
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- Tencent market share this week
- Anthropic market share this week
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI market share this week
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor All Millennium Prize Problems solved before 2030??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 81% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt All Millennium Prize Problems solved before 2030? afgewikkeld?
- All Millennium Prize Problems solved before 2030? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt All Millennium Prize Problems solved before 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria