Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 92%
Voorspellers
28
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 minuut geleden
8 sep 26, 23:12 UTC30 apr 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?
Manifold MarketsAll Millennium Prize Problems solved before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich of the following Millennium Prize Problems will be solved before the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
PolymarketRegels
same resolution criteria as https://manifold.markets/SG/all-millennium-prize-problem-solved except substitute "January 1, 2030" with "April 30, 2027"
Open markten
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+0.9pt86%
- Before 2030+6.0pt82%
- Before 2029-21.9pt48%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 230,8K
- 24u volume
- € 77,1K
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202921%
- Before 2028-1.0pt12%
- Before 2027+0.1pt5%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 28,6 mln.
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 314%
- September 30-0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+11.0pt56%
- Before 203248%
- Before 2030-19.0pt44%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 109,5K
KALSHIHow many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Above 0+3.0pt48%
- Above 1-2.0pt18%
- Above 2-6.0pt8%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.7pt3%
- Totaal volume
- € 1,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 2,9K
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Major volcano eruption in 2026?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
- Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor All Millennium Prize Problems solved before May 2027??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 92% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt All Millennium Prize Problems solved before May 2027? afgewikkeld?
- All Millennium Prize Problems solved before May 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 30 april 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt All Millennium Prize Problems solved before May 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: same resolution criteria as https://manifold.markets/SG/all-millennium-prize-problem-solved except substitute "January 1, 2030" with "April 30, 2027"