KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Above 0.5% 84%Koploper van 13 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
29 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 0
Lage liquiditeitSpread
8.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 minuten geleden
6 aug 26, 22:00 UTC28 jan 31, 13:29 UTC
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Macrogevoelige Assets
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
US nominal GDP growth in 2036
KalshiUS nominal GDP growth in 2035
KalshiUS nominal GDP growth in 2034
KalshiWill AGI cause US nominal GDP to at least double between 2025 to 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill the US be the largest economy by nominal gdp in 2052?
Manifold MarketsUS nominal GDP growth in 2033
KalshiRegels
If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2030 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
- The Underlying is the 2030 annual value for GDP under “Current-dollar measures” in the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis release titled “GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2030,” or its equivalent successor publication.
- The value will be taken as reported by BEA, in percentage terms and to the precision published by BEA.
- Subsequent estimates, revisions, annual updates, or benchmark revisions will not affect resolution.
- If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2030 is above 0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2030 is above 1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markten
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 89,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,7 mln.
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 541,2K
- 24u volume
- € 30,7K
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 334,2K
- 24u volume
- € 12,8K
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 10,7K
- 24u volume
- € 10,7K
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Totaal volume
- € 612,5K
- 24u volume
- € 6,9K
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No95%
- Yes+1.0pt5%
- Totaal volume
- € 2,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 5,3K
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in September
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor US nominal GDP growth in 2030?
- Kalshi prijst Above 0.5% op 84% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt US nominal GDP growth in 2030 afgewikkeld?
- US nominal GDP growth in 2030 wordt naar verwachting op 28 januari 2031 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt US nominal GDP growth in 2030 afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2030 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.