KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 98%
Marktkwaliteit
≤49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 19,1K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Strakke spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 minuten geleden
11 mrt 26, 20:00 UTC20 okt 26, 12:29 UTC
Trends
Macrogevoelige Assets
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
DOGE cuts $1T federal deficit by FY 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS defaults on debt by 2027?
PolymarketWhen will the US have a sovereign debt crisis?
Manifold MarketsHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
Polymarket2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
KalshiRegels
If the U.S. federal budget deficit as a percentage of GDP for fiscal year 2026, as reported in the U.S. Treasury / Office of Management and Budget Joint Statement on Budget Results for Fiscal Year 2026, is below 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:U.S. Treasury / OMB
Open markten
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 91 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,7 mln.
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 569,7K
- 24u volume
- € 47,4K
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 359,2K
- 24u volume
KALSHIUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.5% of GDP-2.0pt94%
- Above -5.0% of GDP-6.0pt90%
- Above -4.5% of GDP80%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 16,4K
KALSHIGermany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.0% of GDP-1.0pt96%
- Above -4.5% of GDP-8.0pt86%
- Above -4.0% of GDP+1.0pt51%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-3.0pt22%
- Totaal volume
- € 314,7K
- 24u volume
- € 9,5K
- CPI core in August
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Japan’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- US recession by end of 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Recession this year?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP below 5% for FY2026??
- Kalshi prijst No op 98% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP below 5% for FY2026? afgewikkeld?
- U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP below 5% for FY2026? wordt naar verwachting op 20 oktober 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP below 5% for FY2026? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the U.S. federal budget deficit as a percentage of GDP for fiscal year 2026, as reported in the U.S. Treasury / Office of Management and Budget Joint Statement on Budget Results for Fiscal Year 2026, is below 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.