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  3. US defaults on debt by 2027?
US defaults on debt by 2027?

US defaults on debt by 2027?

0.1% (24u)One-OffBonds & TreasuriesMacro & EconomyUS PoliticsEconomie
PolymarketPolymarketGeslotenBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kosten

Deze markt is gesloten en wacht op bevestigde afwikkeling.

Huidige impliciete kans
Ja
Ja 3%
Marktkwaliteit

44 / 100

Lage kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 4,5

Liquiditeit

€ 4,4K

Gemiddelde liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

1.6% / 5.3%

Spread

231.3%

Brede spread
7d wijziging

-1.9%

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt gisteren

Verouderd
5 nov 25, 19:5031 dec 26, 0:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans
Ja
Ja
3%
Nee
Nee
97%

Deze markt is gesloten. Oefenhandel is alleen beschikbaar op open markten.

KalshiOok beschikbaar op Kalshi

US defaults before 2027?

US defaults before 2027?

6mnd
Ja
Ja
5%
Nee
Nee
95%
24 • Lage kwaliteitBrede spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt
Totaal volume€ 9
24u volume€ 0
KalshiKALSHI

Regels

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
  • The resolution source will be official information from the U.S.
  • Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.

Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.

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Actief in deze onderwerpen

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Regels

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
  • The resolution source will be official information from the U.S.
  • Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.