US defaults on debt by 2027?
1.6 ptn (24u)One-OffBonds & TreasuriesMacro & EconomyUS PoliticsEconomie3mnd
PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 97%-1.6pt
Marktkwaliteit
67 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 812
Liquiditeit
€ 2,1K
Lage liquiditeitBied / Laat
2.7% / 3.8%
Spread
1.1 pt
Strakke spreadReacties
0
7d wijziging
+1.9 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 minuten geleden
5 nov 25, 19:50 UTC31 dec 26, 00:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Regels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
- The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
Open markten
Bonds & TreasuriesPOLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- 4.0%+0.3pt100%
- 3.9%-0.7pt9%
- 3.8%+3.0pt8%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 211,3K
- 24u volume
- € 7,3K
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.82%-27.0pt50%
- 4.85%-25.5pt41%
- 4.94%-10.0pt30%
+6 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.4%-1.5pt100%
+7 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 4.76%+5.5pt79%
- Below 4.73%+15.5pt76%
- Below 4.70%+9.0pt59%
+6 extra uitkomsten
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 4.66% or above99%
- 4.68% or above99%
- 4.7% or above99%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,3K
- 24u volume
- € 2,1K
KALSHI30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 5.19% or above99%
- 5.17% or above99%
- 5.11% or above99%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,2K
- 24u volume
- € 2K
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- Will NU sell $250M in bonds for the Big Red Rebuild?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor US defaults on debt by 2027??
- Polymarket prijst No op 97% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt US defaults on debt by 2027? afgewikkeld?
- US defaults on debt by 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt US defaults on debt by 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Waar wordt US defaults on debt by 2027? nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Kalshi.