KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 89%
Marktkwaliteit
≤49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 1,5K
Lage liquiditeitBied / Laat
8.0% / 10.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 minuten geleden
19 aug 26, 22:00 UTC1 jan 29, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Regels
If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces that the United States Federal Government failed to make a scheduled payment on a Treasury note, bond, or bill; or that one of the three major credit ratings agencies designate any United States debt in any form of default, before 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:U.S. Department of the Treasury
Open markten
Macro & EconomyKALSHIConnecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026
- Above 3,500 units-1.0pt88%
- Above 4,000 units-4.0pt66%
- Above 4,500 units-29.0pt19%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 45,8K
- 24u volume
- € 21K
KALSHIHousing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
- Above 1,700 units-4.0pt82%
- Above 1,600 units-11.0pt80%
- Above 1,800 units-5.0pt68%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETWhat will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
- $518K - $524K+10.1pt31.1%
- $524K - $530K+11.4pt25.5%
- $530K - $536K-20.6pt16%
POLYMARKETWhat will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?
- $1.153M - $1.169M+12.5pt37.4%
- $1.137M - $1.153M-6.0pt31.3%
- <$1.137M-25.6pt14.1%
KALSHICzech National Bank rate decision in September
- Maintain current rate-3.0pt86.8%
- Hike 25bps+4.0pt7.5%
- Cut 50bps1.9%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 34,9K
KALSHIHow high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Above $4.60+1.0pt40%
- Above $4.80+2.0pt33%
- Above $5.0029%
+10 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,2 mln.
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount in 2027
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
- Charlottetown, PEI Mayoral Election Winner
- How low will the S&P get this year?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- How high will the S&P get this year?
- Visitors to Florida in 2026
- What will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?
- Will Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor US defaults before 2029??
- Kalshi prijst No op 89% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt US defaults before 2029? afgewikkeld?
- US defaults before 2029? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt US defaults before 2029? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces that the United States Federal Government failed to make a scheduled payment on a Treasury note, bond, or bill; or that one of the three major credit ratings agencies designate any United States debt in any form of default, before 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.