KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 97%
Marktkwaliteit
≤49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 1K
Lage liquiditeitBied / Laat
1.1% / 3.0%
Spread
1.9 pt
Strakke spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 9 minuten geleden
12 mrt 26, 14:00 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
US defaults before 2030?
KalshiUS defaults before 2029?
KalshiUS defaults before 2028?
KalshiUS defaults on debt held by China before 2027?
Manifold MarketsAir Baltic defaults on 2024 14.5% EUR bond before August 14, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill the US unilaterally restructure outstanding Treasury debt (coupon, maturity, swap) by December 31, 2030?
Manifold MarketsRegels
If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces that the United States Federal Government failed to make a scheduled payment on a Treasury note, bond, or bill; or that one of the three major credit ratings agencies designate any United States debt in any form of default, before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:U.S. Department of the Treasury
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
Open markten
Bonds & Treasuries
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- 4.0%+0.3pt100%
- 3.9%-0.7pt9%
- 3.8%+3.0pt8%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 211,3K
- 24u volume
- € 7,3K
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.82%-27.0pt50%
- 4.85%-25.5pt41%
- 4.94%-10.0pt30%
+6 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.4%-1.5pt100%
+7 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 4.76%+5.5pt79%
- Below 4.73%+15.5pt76%
- Below 4.70%+9.0pt59%
+6 extra uitkomsten
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 4.66% or above99%
- 4.68% or above99%
- 4.7% or above99%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,3K
- 24u volume
- € 2,1K
KALSHI30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 5.19% or above99%
- 5.17% or above99%
- 5.11% or above99%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,2K
- 24u volume
- € 2K
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- Will NU sell $250M in bonds for the Big Red Rebuild?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026
- US defaults on debt by 2027?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor US defaults before 2027??
- Kalshi prijst No op 97% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt US defaults before 2027? afgewikkeld?
- US defaults before 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt US defaults before 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces that the United States Federal Government failed to make a scheduled payment on a Treasury note, bond, or bill; or that one of the three major credit ratings agencies designate any United States debt in any form of default, before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Waar wordt US defaults before 2027? nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Polymarket.