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Gegevens van 13 sep 2026, 06:55 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
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Before January 01, 2027 12.5%Koploper van 11 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
55 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 2,2K
Liquiditeit
—
Liquiditeit onbekendSpread
1.0 pt
Strakke spreadHandelaren
0
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 minuten geleden
8 apr 26, 19:47 UTC2 jan 27, 04:00 UTC
Trends
0%
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
KalshiWill traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal before January 1, 2027?
ForecastExWhich month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by ...
Manifold MarketsRegels
If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before contract date, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from IMF PortWatch.
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
- Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket — Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal? · No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026 80%