Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling6. Never in 2026 99%Koploper van 6 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
24
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 14 uur geleden
Verouderd5 apr 26, 20:431 jan 27, 0:59
Trends
Regels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and the corresponding date.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
- Ook beschikbaar op Kalshi — When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? · Before Jul 1, 2027 47%
Open markten
Middle East
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-1.8pt66%
- October 31-8.5pt41%
- September 30-3.0pt26%
+17 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 15,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 351K
POLYMARKETUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- December 31-3.0pt8%
- November 30-2.0pt6%
- October 31-1.0pt4%
+6 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Before Jul 1, 2027+2.0pt47%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-2.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2027-4.0pt24%
+9 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-5.0pt36.1%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-1.0pt22.7%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt11.3%
+8 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- August 22+1.1pt98%
- August 2595%
- August 31-1.0pt86%
+3 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by which date?
- August 310%
- August 150%
- Totaal volume
- € 19,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 101,7K
- Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Al-Riyadh vs Al Nassr
- Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by which date?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will Iran target a Arab country on?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by ...?
- Manifold Markets prijst 6. Never in 2026 op 99% per 21 augustus 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by ... afgewikkeld?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by ... wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by ... afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and the corresponding date.
- Waar wordt Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by ... nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Kalshi.