Deze markt is gesloten en wacht op bevestigde afwikkeling.
Afgewikkeld: 18 aug 2026, 14:28
Niet-geverifieerde afwikkelingsdata
Deze uitkomst is afgeleid of wordt niet ondersteund door provider-grade afwikkelingsbewijs.
Huidige impliciete kansAbove 4.6% 99%Koploper van 10 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
25 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 4K
Liquiditeit
€ 3,5K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitHandelaren
29
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 22 dagen geleden
VerouderdTrends
99%
97%
97%
94%
93%
82%
56%
51%
3%
1%
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the US enter a recession in 2026?
Manifold MarketsChina overtakes USA’s economy by 2030?
KalshiChina Nominal GDP in 2026
KalshiWill China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill China ever surpass US gdp?
Manifold MarketsChina GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
PolymarketRegels
Each market in this event resolves "Yes" if China’s surveyed urban unemployment rate for July 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics of China and displayed by Trading Economics, is above the listed threshold.
- Markets resolve independently — every threshold below the reported figure resolves "Yes".
Open markten
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt52%
- No change-3.0pt46.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 89,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 2,3 mln.
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 323,8K
- 24u volume
- € 25,3K
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 523K
- 24u volume
- € 22K
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes+1.0pt2%
- Totaal volume
- € 611,8K
- 24u volume
- € 12,8K
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP86%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 10,5K
- 24u volume
- € 10,5K
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No94%
- Yes+1.0pt6%
- Totaal volume
- € 2,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 7,7K
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Mexico unemployment rate in August
- 2026: Trump's dream year?
- Unemployment in September
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor China unemployment rate — July 2026?
- Futuur prijst Above 4.6% op 99% per 17 augustus 2026.
- Wanneer wordt China unemployment rate — July 2026 afgewikkeld?
- China unemployment rate — July 2026 wordt naar verwachting op 17 augustus 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt China unemployment rate — July 2026 afgewikkeld?
- Futuur wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Each market in this event resolves "Yes" if China’s surveyed urban unemployment rate for July 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics of China and displayed by Trading Economics, is above the listed threshold.