KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 82%
Marktkwaliteit
≤49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 36,4K
Hoge liquiditeitBied / Laat
14.0% / 18.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 minuten geleden
30 apr 24, 12:00 UTC1 jan 30, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will a former pornstar become US president before China overtakes the US in GDP?
Manifold MarketsWill China overtake the USA's economy by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsSOAI#8: A Chinese lab overtakes the US lab dominated frontier on a major leaderboard (e.g. LMArena/Artificial Analysis)
Manifold MarketsState of the economy at the end of 2026
KalshiWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.6% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExRegels
If China has overtaken US GDP by 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:IMF
Open markten
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+12.0pt64.7%
- No change-12.0pt34.3%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 97,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 4,8 mln.
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 702,5K
- 24u volume
- € 91K
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.2%+3.0pt99%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 400K
- 24u volume
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%-1.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-8.0pt26%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 34,5K
KALSHIUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.5% of GDP92%
- Above -5.0% of GDP79%
- Above -4.5% of GDP-5.0pt62%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 28,3K
- 24u volume
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No97%
- Yes-3.0pt3%
- Totaal volume
- € 2,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 4,9K
- Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- GDP growth in 2026
- China unemployment rate in August
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Recession in 2027?
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Will the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor China overtakes USA’s economy by 2030??
- Kalshi prijst No op 82% per 10 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt China overtakes USA’s economy by 2030? afgewikkeld?
- China overtakes USA’s economy by 2030? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2030 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt China overtakes USA’s economy by 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If China has overtaken US GDP by 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.