Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 82.1%
Voorspellers
19
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd22 jun 24, 04:49 UTC1 jan 31, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will China overtake the US in frontier AI by EOY 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?
Manifold MarketsElectricity generation per capita: Will China overtake the US by end of 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill India overtake South Africa in GDP per Capita by EOY 2030?
Manifold MarketsState of the economy at the end of 2026
KalshiWill the United States economy enter a recession by the end of Q4 2026?
ForecastExRegels
Resolves to the exact same as the Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/chinausgdp/china-overtakes-us-gdp
- If China has overtaken US GDP by 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from IMF.
