PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
September 29 30%In testa tra 8 esiti
Qualità del mercato
62 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
8,7K €
Liquidità
30,7K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
4.8 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 20 minuti fa
22 set 26, 23:38 UTC30 set 26, 20:59 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- No
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will ballistic missile with range over 500km launched from Ukraine hit any target in Russia in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump visit Moscow (capital of Russia) in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill the largest gay club in Moscow shut down in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWas the Moscow concert hall attack a false flag?
Manifold MarketsNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
PolymarketNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine targets Moscow through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Moscow time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Ukraine, directed at Moscow.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 316%
- September 30-0.3pt0%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 65 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 381,5K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt62%
- October 31-6.0pt33%
- September 30-4.0pt8%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms+0.7pt14%
- Save the Children+2.4pt12%
- Yulia Navalnaya-0.5pt7%
+28 altri esiti
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+4.0pt79.2%
- Yes-4.0pt20.8%
- Volume totale
- 11 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 209,6K €
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 25-0.1pt97%
- September 30-1.0pt90%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 185,3K €
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No86%
- Yes14%
- Volume totale
- 60,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 162,9K €
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Trump renames AI by September 30?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Zelenskyy say during the United Nations General Assembly?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by which date?
- Which leaders will leave office in 2026?
- US-Yemen ceasefire continues through which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Ukraine target Moscow on??
- Polymarket quota September 29 al 30% al 23 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Ukraine target Moscow on??
- Will Ukraine target Moscow on? dovrebbe risolversi il 30 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Ukraine target Moscow on??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine targets Moscow through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Moscow time.