Will ballistic missile with range over 500km launched from Ukraine hit any target in Russia in 2026?
GeopoliticaOne-OffRussia / Ukraine3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 55.3%
Previsori
12
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto31 lug 26, 10:44 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any point before December 31, 2026, at 23:59 Moscow Time, a ballistic missile launched from Ukraine hits any target within territory currently controlled by Russia, at the distance greater than 500km from territory currently controlled by Ukraine.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Key Definitions and Rules:
- Ballistic Missile: The weapon must be classified as a ballistic missile (such as Fire Point's FP-9, or any Sapsan/Hrim-2 variant confirmed to have a range exceeding 500 km).
- Cruise missiles (e.g., Neptunes, Flamingos), rocket-drones (e.g., Palianytsia), and standard kamikaze drones do not qualify.
Mercati aperti
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- Volume 24h
- 581,3K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will ballistic missile with range over 500km launched from Ukraine hit any target in Russia in 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 55% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will ballistic missile with range over 500km launched from Ukraine hit any target in Russia in 2026??
- Will ballistic missile with range over 500km launched from Ukraine hit any target in Russia in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will ballistic missile with range over 500km launched from Ukraine hit any target in Russia in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria