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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Politica
  3. Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

1.0% (24h)YearlyPoliticaGeopolitica6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 11%+0.0%
Qualita del mercato

44 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

56,3 €

Liquidità

15,7K €

Liquidità media
Bid / Ask

10.0% / 11.0%

Spread

10.0%

Spread ampio
Variazione 7g

-4.0%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 2 minuti fa

5 gen 26, 19:1931 dic 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes11%

Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (including U.S. military, CIA, or any U.S. federal law enforcement agency) directly participate on the ground in an operation that results in the capture of a qualifying head of state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Only individuals who are the active head of state of a UN member state at the time of capture will qualify.
  • Acting/interim heads of state will qualify if they are widely recognized as holding the head-of-state office at that time.
  • For the purposes of this market, “capture” means the head of state is taken into physical custody and detained (including arrest, detention, or seizure) such that they are no longer free to leave at will, even if only temporarily.
  • Voluntary surrender may qualify if it results in immediate detention/custody.

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Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,968.51+2.66%SolanaSOL$65.39+2.08%EthereumETH$1,661.66+2.03%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.85%HyperliquidHYPE$55.99+0.83%XRPXRP$1.12+0.85%

Notizie Correlate

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Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (including U.S. military, CIA, or any U.S. federal law enforcement agency) directly participate on the ground in an operation that results in the capture of a qualifying head of state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Only individuals who are the active head of state of a UN member state at the time of capture will qualify.
  • Acting/interim heads of state will qualify if they are widely recognized as holding the head-of-state office at that time.
  • For the purposes of this market, “capture” means the head of state is taken into physical custody and detained (including arrest, detention, or seizure) such that they are no longer free to leave at will, even if only temporarily.
  • Voluntary surrender may qualify if it results in immediate detention/custody.