Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
1.0 pt (24h)US PoliticsYearlyPoliticaGeopoliticaLatin America5m
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attualeNo 92.1%+0.0pt
Qualita del mercato
64 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
72,1 €
Liquidità
5,8K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
7.0% / 8.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoVariazione 7g
+2.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 18 minuti fa
5 gen 26, 19:1231 dic 26, 0:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Yes8%
Trend del volume
$822 lug20g di dati28 lug
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (including U.S. military, CIA, or any U.S. federal law enforcement agency) directly participate on the ground in an operation that results in the capture of a qualifying head of state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Only individuals who are the active head of state of a UN member state at the time of capture will qualify.
- Acting/interim heads of state will qualify if they are widely recognized as holding the head-of-state office at that time.
- For the purposes of this market, “capture” means the head of state is taken into physical custody and detained (including arrest, detention, or seizure) such that they are no longer free to leave at will, even if only temporarily.
- Voluntary surrender may qualify if it results in immediate detention/custody.