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Will Donald Trump publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?
Will Joe Biden publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?
Conditional on humanity surviving to 2035, will a global AI pause have been enacted?
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
Regole
For this market, "world leader" is defined as any head of government or head of state of any country which has a population of at least five million people.
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