Will Russia use a nuclear weapon by June 30?
Geopolitica
PolymarketChiusoVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: No
Risolto: 1 lug 2023, 06:03
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Probabilità implicita attuale
No 100%
Qualita del mercato
15 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
—
Liquidità sconosciutaDati di mercato
Aggiornato 123 giorni fa
Obsoleto18 feb 23, 14:2730 giu 23, 0:00
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Regole
A prediction market on whether Russia will use nuclear weapons has been requested many times recently by esteemed academics and thought leaders from across the world, and it is strongly within the public's interest to have accurate price discovery and realtime forecasts on such a topic.
- Existing prediction markets on this subject lack functional price discovery mechanisms, and thus are misleading the people; therefore it was deemed necessary to support this market as a public good, in order to provide clarity to society on one of the most pressing issues.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Russian Federation detonates a nuclear device in an offensive capacity by June 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- To satisfy a "Yes" resolution, the detonation of a nuclear device must be in an offensive capacity (whether deliberate or accidental), must not be a test, and must be either claimed by the Russian Federation or considered by a preponderance of credible reporting and/or information from credible sources to be from the Russian Federation.
- For the purpose of this market's resolution, determination as to whether a detonation was nuclear will be made by a preponderance of credible reporting.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Russia use a nuclear weapon by June 30??
- Polymarket quota No al 100% al 25 aprile 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Russia use a nuclear weapon by June 30??
- Will Russia use a nuclear weapon by June 30? dovrebbe risolversi il 30 giugno 2023.
- Come viene liquidato Will Russia use a nuclear weapon by June 30??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: A prediction market on whether Russia will use nuclear weapons has been requested many times recently by esteemed academics and thought leaders from across the world, and it is strongly within the public's interest to have accurate price discovery and realtime forecasts on such a topic.