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Dati al 1 set 2026, 18:30 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
December 31 11%In testa tra 5 esiti
Qualità del mercato
12 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
1,8K €
Bassa liquiditàCommenti
6
Variazione 7g
-0.1 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto31 gen 26, 0:211 gen 27, 4:59
Trend
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Ternuvate, Zaporizhzhya Oblast, (47.8301° N, 36.1268° E) by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Ternuvate will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by which date??
- Polymarket quota December 31 al 11% al 1 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by which date??
- Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by which date? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by which date??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Ternuvate, Zaporizhzhya Oblast, (47.8301° N, 36.1268° E) by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.