PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Earbuds/Headphones 22%In testa tra 10 esiti
Qualità del mercato
70 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
5,1K €
Liquidità
23,1K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
0.8 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
13
Variazione 7g
+1.4 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
30 gen 26, 16:54 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiOpen Source market share on Sep 14th
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWill ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsAll Millennium Prize Problems solved before 2030?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released.
- If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes".
- The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? · Earbuds/Headphones 20%
Mercati aperti
AIKALSHIOpen Source market share on Sep 14th
- Above 67.5%99%
- Above 70%+22.0pt99%
- Above 72.5%96%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 63,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 63,6K €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt89%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-5.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-8.0pt79%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-2.8pt68.6%
- ChatGPT-0.4pt15.7%
- Gemini+0.2pt6.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,5 Mln €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 15,85%
- December 31,-3.5pt84%
- November 30,-2.0pt76%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWill any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
- 1510+45.5pt100%
- 1520-9.9pt81%
- 1530-0.1pt4%
+2 altri esiti
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude89.9%
- Gemini2.8%
- ChatGPT1.8%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 27,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 27,4K €
- Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026??
- Polymarket quota Earbuds/Headphones al 22% al 15 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026??
- What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Dove altro è quotato What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Kalshi.