US inflation >0.2% from Nov to Dec 2023?
Inflation
PolymarketChiusoVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: Yes
Risolto: 11 gen 2024, 15:45
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì 100%
Qualita del mercato
15 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
—
Liquidità sconosciutaDati di mercato
Aggiornato 147 giorni fa
Obsoleto12 dic 23, 19:1311 gen 24, 0:00
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Regole
This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from November to December 2023. Inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by more than 0.2 percent (on a seasonally adjusted basis) from November to December 2023 and “No“ otherwise.
- The resolution source for this market will be the BLS November 2023 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on January 11, 2024, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services.
- Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports seasonally-adjusted month-to-month inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.7%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market (e.g. if seasonally adjusted month-to-month CPI-U is 0.3%, the market will resolve to “Yes”, if it is 0.2%, this market will resolve to “No”).
Mercati aperti
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change+3.0pt66.7%
- 25 bps increase-2.0pt32.4%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 45 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,4 Mln €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes56%
- No44%
- Volume totale
- 6,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 10,4K €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+2.0pt43%
- September Meeting-1.0pt34%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 altri esiti
KALSHIHow much will core PCE increase in Jul 2026?
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+2.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%+3.0pt36%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 44,3K €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 120,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 6,8K €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 117,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 5,2K €
- How high will inflation get this year?
- Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
- US headline CPI inflation in December 2027
- CPI-U index in August
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- US gasoline CPI for August
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
- Core PCE MoM - July 2026
- August Inflation US - Annual
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Core PCE YoY - July 2026
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per US inflation >0.2% from Nov to Dec 2023??
- Polymarket quota Yes al 100% al 31 marzo 2026.
- Quando si risolve US inflation >0.2% from Nov to Dec 2023??
- US inflation >0.2% from Nov to Dec 2023? dovrebbe risolversi il 11 gennaio 2024.
- Come viene liquidato US inflation >0.2% from Nov to Dec 2023??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from November to December 2023. Inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.