PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
37.5–37.9 47%+26.0ptIn testa tra 6 esiti
37.5–37.9 47%+26.0ptQualità del mercato
48 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
1,3K €
Liquidità
2K €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
6.0 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 minuti fa
29 set 26, 00:22 UTC2 ott 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- Sì
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Trump's approval rating hit 37% or lower before Dec 1st 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Trump's approval rating be higher on election day (Nov. 3, 2026) than it was in his first term (Nov. 6, 2018)?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump's approval rating increase this week? (9/25-10/2)
KalshiWill Trump's approval rating drop below 35% (538/RCP average) at any point in 2026?
Manifold MarketsTrump's DDHQ job approval rating on Oct. 2?
PredictItUK governmental approval rating among women falls below 5% in 2026.
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on October 2, 2026.
- Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date.
- Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
- The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.).
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — Trump's approval rating on Oct 2, 2026? · 38.5 to 38.7 38%