Will Trump's approval rating drop below 35% (538/RCP average) at any point in 2026?
PoliticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElezione3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 70.8%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto28 mar 26, 04:17 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketHow low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolves YES if Donald Trump's approval rating drops below 35% at any point during 2026, as measured by either:
- FiveThirtyEight (538) presidential approval tracker, OR
- RealClearPolitics (RCP) approval average
- Resolution criteria:
- Either tracker showing below 35.0% on any single day counts
- Must be the headline approval number (not disapproval)
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Trump's approval rating drop below 35% (538/RCP average) at any point in 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 71% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Trump's approval rating drop below 35% (538/RCP average) at any point in 2026??
- Will Trump's approval rating drop below 35% (538/RCP average) at any point in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Trump's approval rating drop below 35% (538/RCP average) at any point in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if Donald Trump's approval rating drops below 35% at any point during 2026, as measured by either: