Will Trump's approval rating drop below 35% (538/RCP average) at any point in 2026?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezione2mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 06:50 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 77.3%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto28 mar 26, 04:17 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiRegole
Resolves YES if Donald Trump's approval rating drops below 35% at any point during 2026, as measured by either:
- FiveThirtyEight (538) presidential approval tracker, OR
- RealClearPolitics (RCP) approval average
- Resolution criteria:
- Either tracker showing below 35.0% on any single day counts
- Must be the headline approval number (not disapproval)