KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Below 38.5% 41.1%In testa tra 9 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Below 38.5% 41.1%Qualità del mercato
60 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
164,6K €
Open interest
111,3K €
Open interest altoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
30 set 26, 14:01 UTC1 ott 26, 16:59 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
If Trump's RCP approval average is below 38.5% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:RealClearPolitics
- The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
Regole per ogni esito
- Below 38.5%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is below 38.5% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 38.5%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.5% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 38.8%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.8% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 38.6%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.6% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 38.7%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.7% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 38.9%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.9% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 39.1%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 39.1% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 39.1%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is above 39.1% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 39.0%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 39.0% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.