KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
38.5 to 38.7 21.3%In testa tra 8 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
61 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
3K €
Liquidità
2,8K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
25 set 26, 16:34 UTC2 ott 26, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- No
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 1h (indicativo)
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Trump's DDHQ job approval rating on Oct. 2?
PredictItWill Trump's approval rating be higher on election day (Nov. 3, 2026) than it was in his first term (Nov. 6, 2018)?
Manifold MarketsTrump approval rating on September 25?
PolymarketWill Trump's approval rating increase this week? (9/25-10/2)
KalshiWhat will President Trump's RCP job approval rating be on Sept. 30?
PredictItTrump approval Up or Down this week?
PolymarketRegole
If the President's approval rating is the named outcome% at 11:00 AM ET on October 02, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:RealClearPolitics
- The market will determine at 11:00 AM ET on October 02, 2026.
- If the President's approval rating is between 38.2 and 38.4% at 11:00 AM ET on October 02, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 38.5 and 38.7% at 11:00 AM ET on October 02, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 38.8 and 39.0% at 11:00 AM ET on October 02, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.1 and 39.3% at 11:00 AM ET on October 02, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom+1.6pt15%
+50 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mld €
- Volume 24h
- 787,4K €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.8%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.8%
- Gavin Newsom13.9%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 198,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 574,3K €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.3pt92%
- Republican Party-0.7pt8%
- Volume totale
- 32,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 543,8K €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-2.0pt60.6%
- D-House, R-Senate-1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep+0.2pt8.1%
+1 altri esiti
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson-3.0pt63%
- Susan Collins+3.0pt37%
- Volume totale
- 5,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 393,6K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- March 31+1.5pt80%
- December 31+2.5pt66%
- November 30+1.0pt49%
+20 altri esiti
- Texas Senate winner?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Next French Presidential Election
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Ohio Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Senate winner?
- Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Kansas Senate winner?
- Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Trump's approval rating on Oct 2, 2026??
- Kalshi quota 38.5 to 38.7 al 21.3% al 25 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Trump's approval rating on Oct 2, 2026??
- Trump's approval rating on Oct 2, 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Trump's approval rating on Oct 2, 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the President's approval rating is the named outcome% at 11:00 AM ET on October 02, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.