Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?
11.0 pt (24h)PoliticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElezione3m
KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Florida 36.5%+11.0ptIn testa tra 20 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
59 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
139,6K €
Liquidità
113,9K €
Alta liquiditàDati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
23 set 26, 21:00 UTC3 gen 27, 13:59 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
If Massachusetts is the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Federal Election CommissionMassachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth, Elections DivisionDelaware Department of ElectionsOregon Secretary of State, Elections DivisionRhode Island Board of ElectionsColorado Secretary of StateIllinois State Board of ElectionsMaine Secretary of State, Division of ElectionsNew Mexico Secretary of State, Elections DivisionNew Jersey Division of ElectionsVirginia Department of ElectionsMinnesota Secretary of StateNew Hampshire Secretary of StateMichigan Secretary of StateGeorgia Secretary of StateNorth Carolina State Board of ElectionsOhio Secretary of Statethe Florida Division of ElectionsAlaska Division of ElectionsIowa Secretary of StateTexas Secretary of State
- A state's 2024 margin is Kamala Harris's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Donald Trump's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results.
- The margin is negative where Trump won.
- A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Republican.
- Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Republicans.
- Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026??
- Kalshi quota Florida al 36.5% al 25 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026??
- Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 3 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Massachusetts is the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.