Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?
1.0 pt (24h)PoliticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElezione3m
KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Texas 34.9%+1.0ptIn testa tra 16 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
54 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
49,6K €
Liquidità
48,7K €
Alta liquiditàDati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
23 set 26, 21:00 UTC3 gen 27, 13:59 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
If Mississippi is the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Federal Election CommissionMississippi Secretary of StateLouisiana Secretary of StateMontana Secretary of StateSouth Carolina State Election CommissionKansas Secretary of StateTexas Secretary of StateIowa Secretary of StateAlaska Division of Electionsthe Florida Division of ElectionsOhio Secretary of StateNorth Carolina State Board of ElectionsGeorgia Secretary of StateMichigan Secretary of StateNew Hampshire Secretary of StateMinnesota Secretary of StateVirginia Department of Elections
- A state's 2024 margin is Donald Trump's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Kamala Harris's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results.
- The margin is negative where Harris won.
- A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Democrat (including Minnesota's Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party).
- Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Democrats.
- Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026??
- Kalshi quota Texas al 34.9% al 25 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026??
- Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 3 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Mississippi is the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.