PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
December 31, 99%-0.1ptIn testa tra 4 esiti
Qualità del mercato
48 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
956,3 €
Liquidità
2,3K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
5.8 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
-42.3 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
24 lug 26, 21:56 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsWill a Mythos-tier-at-cybersecurity open-source model be released before end of 2027?
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Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4).
- The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
- Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
Mercati aperti
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Volume totale
- 241,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 128K €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 altri esiti
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 349,4K €
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
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- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Next Kimi K model released by which date??
- Polymarket quota December 31, al 99% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Next Kimi K model released by which date??
- Next Kimi K model released by which date? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Next Kimi K model released by which date??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.