PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
November 30 86%+7.0ptIn testa tra 3 esiti
Qualità del mercato
67 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
2,5K €
Liquidità
15,4K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
4 set 26, 14:36 UTC30 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
On September 2, 2026, alongside the launch of Muse Spark 1.3, Meta announced a roadmap "including bigger models" (https://research.meta.ai/blog/introducing-muse-spark-1-3).
- Credible reporting has identified Meta's next-generation frontier model by the internal codename "Watermelon."
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
Mercati aperti
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,250 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above98%
+77 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 541,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 536,7K €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 160-179+18.0pt37.1%
- 180-199+10.0pt36.2%
- 200-219-10.0pt12.4%
+23 altri esiti
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $68,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,2 Mln €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+39.3pt96%
- 65-89-29.7pt4%
- <40-24.4pt0%
+7 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Before April 2027+3.0pt71.8%
- Before March 202717.3%
- Before February 2027-1.0pt6.4%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic89.9%
- OpenAI-1.5pt8.1%
- Google-0.1pt2%
+18 altri esiti
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- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Meta's "Watermelon" model released by which date??
- Polymarket quota November 30 al 86% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Meta's "Watermelon" model released by which date??
- Meta's "Watermelon" model released by which date? dovrebbe risolversi il 30 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Meta's "Watermelon" model released by which date??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: On September 2, 2026, alongside the launch of Muse Spark 1.3, Meta announced a roadmap "including bigger models" (https://research.meta.ai/blog/introducing-muse-spark-1-3).