PolymarketChiusoVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: 200-219
Risolto: 18 set 2026, 18:03
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Esito Vincente
200-219
A 7 giorni
—
A 24 ore
37%
SorpresaAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 19 set 2026, 12:05 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Cronologia delle Probabilità
120-1391%
140-15918%
220-2399%
160-1799%
180-19994%
320-3390%
200-219100%
240-2594%
260-2794%
280-2991%
200-219Vinta
<20Persa
20-39Persa
40-59Persa
60-79Persa
80-99Persa
100-119Persa
120-139Persa
140-159Persa
160-179Persa
180-199Persa
220-239Persa
240-259Persa
260-279Persa
280-299Persa
300-319Persa
320-339Persa
340-359Persa
360-379Persa
380-399Persa
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Elon Musk tweets "Manifold Markets" before 2027?
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PolymarketWhich companies will be in the Top 10 worldwide by market cap at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by October 31?
PolymarketWhen will any company achieve AGI?
KalshiRegole
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
- For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
- Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
- The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com.