Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 24 ott 2026, 18:20 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 87%
Previsori
12
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto20 ago 25, 18:25 UTC31 dic 26, 18:56 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets October 24 - October 26, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026?
PolymarketWill manifold markets be referenced in a Simpson's episode by EOY2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich year will legal action first be taken against Manifold Markets by any governmental entity ?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolves YES if Elon Musk posts a message on X (formerly Twitter) containing the exact phrase "Manifold Markets" before January 1, 2027.
- Case-insensitive.
- The post must be publicly posted by Elon Musk’s official account @elonmusk.
- Retweets do not count.
- I will also accept "Manifoldmarkets" or any links to Manifold containing "Manifold.markets" in the tweet.
- I will NOT accept any other variants, such as "Manifold, markets" or "Manifold market".
