NATO downs another Russian drone by which date?
1.0 pt (24h)GeopoliticaOne-OffRussia / UkraineEurope22g
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
September 30 33%-3.5pt
Qualità del mercato
34 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
227,7 €
Liquidità
684,8 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
13.0% / 22.0%
Spread
9.0 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
-22.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
28 ago 26, 22:23 UTC30 set 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Ukraine damages Kremlin with drone or missile before Russia-Ukraine war ends?
Manifold MarketsIs Alex going to resolve his market about Russia's drone attack on Poland fairly?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketUnited Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
PolymarketHow many seats will the Communist Party (KPRF) win in the next Russian legislative election?
PolymarketWill United Russia gain seats in the 2026 Russian Duma Elections?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a NATO military downs another Russian drone by any means (kinetic, jammer, etc.) between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM Kyiv Time.
- A “Russian drone” refers to any drone that, based on a consensus of credible reporting, was launched from territory under Russia’s de facto control or was operated or directed by Russian forces.
- Where attribution remains ambiguous, the drone’s model and characteristics will be considered supporting evidence.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- The occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying incident will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources.
- Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant incident, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the incident based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (CEST) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the incident.