PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
2027 28%-2.0ptIn testa tra 3 esiti
Qualità del mercato
53 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
369,9 €
Liquidità
2K €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
-20.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
30 lug 26, 20:011 gen 28, 4:59
Trend
Regole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Leopold Aschenbrenner between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.