KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 91%
Qualità del mercato
30 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
0,9 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
- / 7.0%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
31 lug 26, 17:05 UTC1 gen 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Regole
If Leopold Aschenbrenner is appointed, elected, named, designated, or succeeded to the position as any position for OpenAI before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
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- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
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+3 altri esiti
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- 135,2K €
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- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
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- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
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KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
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- Grok2.8%
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- Volume 24h
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- 1480+-2.5pt66%
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- 1500+-3.0pt23%
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Leopold Aschenbrenner return to OpenAI??
- Kalshi quota No al 91% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Leopold Aschenbrenner return to OpenAI??
- Will Leopold Aschenbrenner return to OpenAI? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Leopold Aschenbrenner return to OpenAI??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Leopold Aschenbrenner is appointed, elected, named, designated, or succeeded to the position as any position for OpenAI before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.