PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
4.58% 78%In testa tra 9 esiti
Qualità del mercato
61 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
575,2 €
Liquidità
5K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
3 set 26, 01:06 UTC30 set 26, 12:00 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
PolymarketHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
PolymarketHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketHow high will the 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Futuur10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
Kalshi30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
- This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026.
- If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
2 piattaforme quotano attualmente questo mercato. La probabilità di riferimento ponderata per la liquidità di CoinRithm per 4.58% è del 78%.
Riferimento CoinRithm 4.58% 78% · 2 piattaforme · 0 pt di scarto tra venue
